Jun.23, 2010 - Wednesday Pt 2: Moderate Risk

[DarkSky]

It's happened twice already in this thread so I just want to state to everyone, NO PROFANITY is allowed. Even disguised profanity using symbols or different spelling.

Thank you.

[davefootball123]

looking at the new spc it looks like we are still in a slight with 30% chance damaging winds and a hatched area 15 for hail and 2 for a tornado
ONGOING CONVECTION HAS RENDERED THE ATMOSPHERE LESS UNSTABLE FARTHER
EAST FROM WRN PA INTO WRN NY. THETA-E ADVECTION ALONG THE EWD
MIGRATING WLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SOME EWD
DESTABILIZATION WITH TIME...SUGGESTING THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND
MAY INCREASE IN THIS REGION LATER TONIGHT. HOWEVER...TIME OF DAY
SUGGESTS DESTABILIZATION OF THE NEAR SURFACE LAYER WILL REMAIN
LIMITED. FOR THESE REASONS...HAVE TRIMMED THE MODERATE RISK OUT OF
SWRN NY AND WRN PA FOR TONIGHT...BUT HAVE MAINTAINED A SLIGHT RISK
AS WELL AS RISK FOR ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE

[Storm Chaser]

Well there is a tornado watch now for windor-chatham-leamington, so who do we believe. i hope those slim odds turn out for us.

[Derecho]

Originally Posted by Eabie

The latest SPC outlook has removed all of Southern Ontario from the moderate zones - hail, tornadoes, high winds. It's all out. We're now 15% high winds, 5% hail, and 2% tornadoes.

Party time!

[Nagii]

Someone in weather reporting land needs to get their facts straight.

[Eabie]

I just noticed my post diverges quite a bit from Dave's. Did I misread the report? To be honest, it is a bit difficult to tell exactly whether we'd be in the 15% or 30% frame for high winds. Everyone else seems to be optimistic both here and on the Accuweather forum.... to be honest, I did have a little bit to drink to handle the anxiety of today and soothe my nerves, so I don't know anymore. lol.

[davefootball123]

i was refering from about hamilton niagara south and west

[Derecho]

Originally Posted by Eabie

I just noticed my post diverges quite a bit from Dave's. Did I misread the report? To be honest, it is a bit difficult to tell exactly whether we'd be in the 15% or 30% frame for high winds. Everyone else seems to be optimistic both here and on the Accuweather forum.... to be honest, I did have a little bit to drink to handle the anxiety of today and soothe my nerves, so I don't know anymore. lol.

I was being sarcastic.

[Raedwulf]

Alright, so it's a bust.
Mind you, cape went back up to 1000
but sun is down..all the cells are dieing...nothing else popping up..cap..too..strong..like you said Derecho. Must have been the reason..there was plenty of moisture and lift..bleh.

[ontariolightning]

You should ask the people in Midland if they think the day was a bust