Jun.23, 2010 - Wednesday Pt 2: Moderate Risk

[Derecho]

The other thread got too long. Moderate risk in effect for southern Ontario. Looks like the MCS will come through southern Ontario around 1-2pm, followed by another round of severe weather in the evening.

SigTor parameters for 00z:

[Raedwulf]

I swear its better than christmas
Wakeing up to tornado and supercell models.
Helicity maps and shear
dewpoints and capes

Sigh*
Can't.........retain.......my..love..for....storms .


If I don't get a storm where I am..I am going to break my legs.
As it stands in its stormy state ATM

[Derecho]

I couldn't sleep, lol.

45% hatched wind potential for southern Ontario.

That MCS is really starting to get its act together as it approaches Lower Michigan. BRB coffee

[Raedwulf]

You're in a good spot. waterloo..I'm in Oshawa..even in cases like this..storms tend to deteriorate by the time they get here..and..rebuild themselves when they passed! It's like I'm in a cursed zone. My extensive love yields me extensive pain. Like a lesson, lost forever in the abyss of the wind

>_>..
Depending on how this thing goes, I might have to drive out that way to get a shot. Then..good 'ol Murphy will pay me a visit and the whole thing will go BUST then there will be like some SUPER-MEGA-OMNI-CELL right over my city and itll be laughing and choking up civilians>=( and ill be like ._. >_>

[Derecho]

Just issued:

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA ONTARIO REGION.
7:05 AM EDT WEDNESDAY 23 JUNE 2010.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ISSUED FOR..
CITY OF TORONTO
WINDSOR - ESSEX - CHATHAM-KENT
SARNIA - LAMBTON
ELGIN
LONDON - MIDDLESEX
SIMCOE - DELHI - NORFOLK
DUNNVILLE - CALEDONIA - HALDIMAND
OXFORD - BRANT
NIAGARA
CITY OF HAMILTON
HALTON - PEEL
YORK - DURHAM
HURON - PERTH
WATERLOO - WELLINGTON
DUFFERIN - INNISFIL.

 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO BEGINNING
THIS AFTERNOON SPREADING EAST TOWARDS THE GOLDEN HORSESHOE THIS
EVENING.

 A COMBINATION OF A WARM..HUMID..AND VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND A
DISTURBANCE APPROACHING SOUTHERN ONTARIO FROM THE US MIDWEST MAY
RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS A
LARGE PART OF SOUTHERN ONTARIO LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY RACE INTO SOUTHERN
ONTARIO FROM MICHIGAN LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING AS WELL.

 THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS..TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS..INTENSE LIGHTNING FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS ALSO
A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES PARTICULARLY OVER
SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO.

 ENVIRONMENT CANADA IS CLOSELY MONITORING THIS EVOLVING SITUATION.
WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY AS REQUIRED.

[Raedwulf]

Nice. You're a good updater Derecho ;-).
bad news..so I have to go to work now...
and my camera doesn't work...

....

So I'll have to buy a camera while I'm out and the good news though is I get to leave work much earlier. (im a carpet guy)..my partner is going to handle the rest of the job once we get prepped. Big job though..ugh.

[Derecho]

A couple of small storms firing ahead of the southern end of the line in Indiana where there are decent parameters to support severe weather.

[Derecho]

Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued for Lower Michigan ahead of the MCS/derecho

[Raedwulf]

Ya, lots of popcorn on radar..but sometimes it can be mistaken for noise.

Alright Derecho. Off to work I go, hopefully be back shortly. Got to get a damned camera!

[davefootball123]

Off to exams guys see you later