Dec.20/21 snow storm?

[DarkSky]

EC has us (St. Catharines) at 6C Thursday/Friday so I can't see snow happening.. but here's the map:

024 
 WOCN11 CWTO 200447
 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
 UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA
 AT 11:47 PM EST WEDNESDAY 19 DECEMBER 2012.
 ---------------------------------------------------------------------
 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR:
       CITY OF TORONTO
       WINDSOR - ESSEX - CHATHAM-KENT
       SARNIA - LAMBTON
       ELGIN
       LONDON - MIDDLESEX
       SIMCOE - DELHI - NORFOLK
       DUNNVILLE - CALEDONIA - HALDIMAND
       OXFORD - BRANT
       NIAGARA
       CITY OF HAMILTON
       HALTON - PEEL
       YORK - DURHAM
       HURON - PERTH
       WATERLOO - WELLINGTON
       DUFFERIN - INNISFIL
       GREY - BRUCE
       BARRIE - ORILLIA - MIDLAND
       BELLEVILLE - QUINTE - NORTHUMBERLAND
       KINGSTON - PRINCE EDWARD
       PETERBOROUGH - KAWARTHA LAKES
       STIRLING - TWEED - SOUTH FRONTENAC
       BANCROFT - BON ECHO PARK
       BROCKVILLE - LEEDS AND GRENVILLE
       CITY OF OTTAWA
       GATINEAU
       PRESCOTT AND RUSSELL
       CORNWALL - MORRISBURG
       SMITHS FALLS - LANARK - SHARBOT LAKE
       PARRY SOUND - MUSKOKA
       HALIBURTON
       RENFREW - PEMBROKE - BARRY'S BAY
       ALGONQUIN
       BURK'S FALLS - BAYFIELD INLET.

A WINTER STORM WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW TO SOUTHERN ONTARIO BEGINNING
 THURSDAY AND CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
 ==DISCUSSION==
 A WEATHER SYSTEM TRACKING TOWARD SOUTHERN ONTARIO WILL BRING A MIX OF
 PRECIPITATION TYPES BEGINNING THURSDAY AND CONTINUING INTO  FRIDAY.

SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE ROUGHLY FROM THE MUSKOKA AREA TO BROCKVILLE:
 PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. MOSTLY
 RAIN IS EXPECTED, ALTHOUGH IT MAY START BRIEFLY AS A BIT OF FREEZING
 RAIN OR SNOW. THE RAIN WILL ALSO LIKELY CHANGE BACK OR BECOME MIXED
 WITH SNOW ON FRIDAY, HOWEVER SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE
 NOT EXPECTED. THE EXCEPTIONS MAY BE THE TRADITIONAL SNOW BELT AREAS
 TO THE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE HURON AND GEORGIAN BAY, WHERE HEAVIER SNOW
 AND POSSIBLY SNOW SQUALLS COULD DEVELOP FRIDAY NIGHT.

TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE MUSKOKA TO BROCKVILLE BOUNDARY:
 PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
 MOSTLY SNOW IS EXPECTED, ALTHOUGH IT COULD BE MIXED WITH RAIN OR
 BRIEF FREEZING RAIN NEAR THE BOUNDARY. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE
 UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME, BUT IT IS LIKELY THAT SOME AREAS WILL REACH
 OR EXCEED SNOWFALL WARNING CRITERIA (15 CM WITHIN 12 HOURS) BY THE
 END OF THE DAY FRIDAY. SNOWFALL WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED BY EARLY
 THURSDAY MORNING, AS THE EVENT DRAWS NEARER AND CONFIDENCE  INCREASES.

WINDY AND COLDER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR ALL REGIONS ON SATURDAY.
 DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE BEGINNING THURSDAY
 ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS WHERE MORE SNOW IS EXPECTED.
 MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HAZARDOUS WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS
 DUE TO LOW VISIBILITY AND ACCUMULATING SNOW ON UNTREATED ROADS.

THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS AND WARNINGS AS
 WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED OR EXTENDED.

END/OSPC

[DarkSky]

1. TODAY..TONIGHT AND FRIDAY..WINTER STORM AND SNOWFALL WARNINGS 
 HOISTED FOR THE SOO EAST ACROSS THE NICKEL BELT TO THE OTTAWA VALLEY 
 AND CORNWALL FOR 15-25 CM OF SNOW, WITH 30 CM NOT OUT OF THE 
 QUESTION FOR THE OTTAWA AREA, AS WELL AS THE SOO. COLORADO LOW 
 SHOULD REACH SOUTHERN ONTARIO TONIGHT THEN MOVE DUE EAST INTO NEW 
 YORK STATE FRIDAY. THIS PRESENTS A RAIN VERSUS SNOW PHASE ISSUE 
 PROBLEM FOR MANY SRN ONT AREAS INCLUDING TORONTO, AND WHILE WE ARE 
 GOING WITH MAINLY RAIN FOR TONIGHT BEFORE AN EVENTUAL CHANGEOVER TO 
 WET SNOW UNDER THE HANGBACK FRIDAY GIVING SOME 2 CM OF SO, IF IT 
 WINDS UP TO BE ANY COLDER AS PER NAM/GFS FORECAST SOUNDING 
 SOLUTIONS, A 5 CM ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ISN'T OUT OF THE QUESTION 
 FOR TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY BEFORE THE LOW PASSES BY. WE WILL ALSO BE 
 WATCHING PROGRESS OF A COASTAL LOW THAT WILL TRACK TOWARDS SERN 
 QUEBEC FRIDAY. THIS ONE HAS POTENTIAL TO KEEP HEAVY SNOW GOING IN 
 THE RENFREW..OTTAWA AND CORNWALL AREAS INTO FRIDAY NIGHT, AND IF SO, 
 WE MAY BE LOOKING AT A FEW AREAS GETTING A SOLID 30 CM SNOWFALL 
 TOTAL. NWRN AND FAR NRN ONTARIO ARE ON THE SIDELINES WITH SCATTERED 
 FLURRIES AND ASSOCIATED CHANCE POPS AT MOST.

2. IN THE LONGER RANGE, HAVE ADDED SNOWSQUALLS TO THE FORECAST FOR 
 SRN ONTARIO SNOWBELTS FOR SATURDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO 
 SUGGEST LAKE EFFECT CLOUD TEMPS IN THE MINUS 10 TO MINUS 13 C RANGE 
 AT LEAST INTO SATURDAY MORNING..JUST INTO THE DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH 
 AREA. THE INVERSION AT THE CLOUD TOP IS FORECAST TO LOWER A BIT ON 
 SATURDAY AFTERNOON, BUT GIVEN THE STRONG NWLY WINDS, EVEN MARGINAL 
 SNOWSQUALLS WILL LIKELY HAVE QUITE AN IMPACT ON TRANSPORTATION 
 THERE. SO HAVE MENTIONED SNOWSQUALLS AS WELL AS LOCAL BLOWING SNOW 
 TO GET THE MESSAGE OUT EARLY IN THIS POTENTIAL HIGH IMPACT EARLY 
 SEASON EVENT.  THEREAFTER THE WEATHER SCENARIO BECOMES MUCH QUIETER 
 OVER SRN ONTARIO, AND WITH TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR OR 
 BELOW FREEZING INTO CHRISTMAS, MOST SNOW THAT DOES FALL SHOULD 
 REMAIN ON THE GROUND. SOME GUIDANCE HINTS AT POSSIBILITY OF A SMALL 
 GENERAL SNOWFALL SRN ONT CHRISTMAS EVE, JUST IN TIME FOR SANTA! 
 LONGER RANGE CHARTS SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A WINTER STORM FOR SRN/ERN 
 ONTARIO LATER IN THE WEEK..BUT AGREEMENT IS NOT GOOD YET, SO STAY 
 TUNED. 

3. HAVE A GREAT DAY, EH?

END/KUHNY/OSPC

[davefootball123]

Where do you get the OSPC AFD still? I dont get the email any longer and its not a normal product so the header doesnt show up on NoaaPort.

[SlideShowBob]

I love this...

"3. HAVE A GREAT DAY, EH?"

[DarkSky]

Originally Posted by davefootball123

Where do you get the OSPC AFD still? I dont get the email any longer and its not a normal product so the header doesnt show up on NoaaPort.

I get them through a weather mailing list I'm subscribed to.

Originally Posted by SlideShowBob

I love this...

"3. HAVE A GREAT DAY, EH?"

Yah, Kuhny rocks (the EC staffer that releases some forecasts)

[DarkSky]

055 
 WOCN11 CWTO 202033
 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3:33 PM
 EST THURSDAY 20 DECEMBER 2012.
 ---------------------------------------------------------------------
 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR:
       CITY OF TORONTO
       WINDSOR - ESSEX - CHATHAM-KENT
       SARNIA - LAMBTON
       ELGIN
       LONDON - MIDDLESEX
       SIMCOE - DELHI - NORFOLK
       DUNNVILLE - CALEDONIA - HALDIMAND
       OXFORD - BRANT
       NIAGARA
       CITY OF HAMILTON
       HALTON - PEEL
       YORK - DURHAM
       HURON - PERTH
       WATERLOO - WELLINGTON
       DUFFERIN - INNISFIL
       GREY - BRUCE
       BARRIE - ORILLIA - MIDLAND
       BELLEVILLE - QUINTE - NORTHUMBERLAND
       KINGSTON - PRINCE EDWARD
       PETERBOROUGH - KAWARTHA LAKES
       STIRLING - TWEED - SOUTH FRONTENAC
       KALADAR - BANNOCKBURN - BON ECHO PARK
       BROCKVILLE - LEEDS AND GRENVILLE
       PORT CARLING - PORT SEVERN
       BRACEBRIDGE - GRAVENHURST
       TOWN OF PARRY SOUND - ROSSEAU - KILLBEAR PARK.

      A WINTER STORM WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW TO SOUTHERN ONTARIO
       BEGINNING LATER TODAY AND CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ENDED FOR:
       BANCROFT - HASTINGS HIGHLANDS - DENBIGH
       HUNTSVILLE - BAYSVILLE
       HALIBURTON.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
 ==DISCUSSION==
 AN INTENSIFYING COLORADO LOW CURRENTLY OVER CHICAGO WILL TRACK ACROSS
 SOUTHERN ONTARIO TONIGHT, BRINGING A MESSY MIX OF PRECIPITATION TYPES
 TO THE REGIONS.

SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE ROUGHLY FROM MIDLAND TO PETERBOROUGH TO
 KINGSTON: PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO BE MOSTLY RAIN, ALTHOUGH IT
 MAY START BRIEFLY AS SNOW.  RAIN ALONG WITH SOME WET SNOW ARE ALSO
 POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES WILL BE HOVERING JUST ABOVE THE ZERO
 DEGREE MARK.  THE RAIN-WET SNOW MIX SHOULD TURN OVER TO SNOW ON
 FRIDAY WITH A FEW CM OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE BY EVENING.
 THE EXCEPTIONS MAY BE THE TRADITIONAL SNOW BELT AREAS TO THE
 SOUTHEAST OF LAKE HURON AND GEORGIAN BAY, WHERE HEAVIER SNOW AND
 POSSIBLY SNOW SQUALLS COULD DEVELOP FRIDAY NIGHT AND LAST INTO
 SATURDAY.  LOCAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 CM ARE POSSIBLE.

TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE MIDLAND TO KINGSTON BOUNDARY:
 PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN THIS EVENING.  MOSTLY SNOW IS
 EXPECTED, ALTHOUGH IT COULD BE MIXED WITH RAIN NEAR THE BOUNDARY.
 TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM THE 10 CM TO CLOSE TO 15 CM
 RANGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.

SNOWFALL WARNINGS AND WINTER STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR
 AREAS EXTENDING FROM BAYFIELD INLET TO HALIBURTON INTO THE OTTAWA
 VALLEY AND CORNWALL WHERE 15 CM TO 25 CM ARE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
 LOCAL BLOWING SNOW.

WINDY AND COLDER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR ALL REGIONS ON SATURDAY.
 DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE THIS EVENING
 ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS WHERE MORE SNOW IS EXPECTED.
 MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HAZARDOUS WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS
 DUE TO LOW VISIBILITY AND ACCUMULATING SNOW ON UNTREATED ROADS.

PLEASE MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND WARNINGS FROM ENVIRONMENT
 CANADA AT WWW.WEATHEROFFICE.GC.CA.

END

[Derecho]

Originally Posted by DarkSky

I get them through a weather mailing list I'm subscribed to.

The Weather Server? I stopped getting his emails years ago... and can't find a subscription list.

[WrongWay]

Was it this weather list server you are looking for?
http://www.weatherserver.net/html/subscribe.html