Ontario Storms Site!  

Go Back   Ontario Storms Site! > Ontario Storms Forums > The Truck Stop: Storm Talk & Chit-Chat

The Truck Stop: Storm Talk & Chit-Chat General talk on past, current, and future storms - all talk about UPCOMING storms goes here

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-06-2015, 12:21 AM
SlideShowBob's Avatar
SlideShowBob SlideShowBob is offline
Rank: Cumulonimbus Cloud Chaser
 
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Priceville, Ontario
Posts: 181
Thanks: 93
Thanked 28 Times in 23 Posts
Default guess the first Warning date...

Hi Everyone. It's now March and I am so fed up with this winter.

So, to start things off this season...

When do you think the first A) Thunderstorm
B) Watch
C) Warning

...will happen in southern Ontario.

any Guesses?

I personally am just waiting for the first rumble in my area...
__________________
SlideShowBob
To view links or images in signatures your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.

Grey Highlands (Durham) Ontario
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-06-2015, 12:25 AM
SlideShowBob's Avatar
SlideShowBob SlideShowBob is offline
Rank: Cumulonimbus Cloud Chaser
 
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Priceville, Ontario
Posts: 181
Thanks: 93
Thanked 28 Times in 23 Posts
Default Re: guess the first Warning date...

I will guess April 18th 2015 for my area for all three.

Windsor-Essex-Kent most likely earlier in April.

BTW, I don't really gamble...just a guess.

Cheers to a great season in 2015!
__________________
SlideShowBob
To view links or images in signatures your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.

Grey Highlands (Durham) Ontario
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-06-2015, 01:06 AM
Stormydude Stormydude is offline
Rank: Cumulonimbus Cloud Chaser
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: Kitchener Ontario, Canada
Posts: 118
Thanks: 82
Thanked 33 Times in 28 Posts
Default Re: guess the first Warning date...

Definitely sometime in April the first watch and probably warning. Let's say a Tuesday the 21st.
__________________
Kitchener, Ontario, AKA "Storm Repellant" (unless I'm not around)
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 03-09-2015, 09:06 PM
DarkSky's Avatar
DarkSky DarkSky is offline
Administrator
 
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: St. Catharines, ON [Niagara]
Posts: 1,625
Thanks: 678
Thanked 416 Times in 282 Posts
Default Re: guess the first Warning date...

First tstorm I'll say April. Mid April. First warning? Hmm... hard to say. Mid-May.

First confirmed tornado in Ontario? 1st week of June.

:P
__________________
- DarkSky (St. Catharines, ON (Niagara) )
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 03-24-2015, 03:52 AM
tice23 tice23 is offline
Rank: Cumulonimbus Cloud Chaser
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Midland Ontario
Posts: 271
Thanks: 66
Thanked 169 Times in 113 Posts
Default Re: guess the first Warning date...

I'm leaning towards a later seasonal start, not sure what to expect as a whole but with a bleak start down south I think it may be later in june or even july before we see any significant weather. but heck, first warning? I'd say were looking at mid-late may with a system just good enough to get a warning but not exciting on a whole. probably the southern tip as always.
__________________
-Storm Chaser and Photographer (Midland, ON)
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 03-25-2015, 05:01 PM
ssills's Avatar
ssills ssills is offline
Rank: Getting close to the action
 
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: Tillsonburg
Posts: 6
Thanks: 4
Thanked 3 Times in 2 Posts
Default Re: guess the first Warning date...

I'm going to guess April 25th or after, the current trend doesn't seem to be going anywhere anytime soon. I believe it will be another slow start and probably ramp up into late May, early June.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 03-30-2015, 01:42 PM
Stormydude Stormydude is offline
Rank: Cumulonimbus Cloud Chaser
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: Kitchener Ontario, Canada
Posts: 118
Thanks: 82
Thanked 33 Times in 28 Posts
Default Re: guess the first Warning date...

SPC's Day 3 forecast shows storm potential for Northern Ontario and it might be in the mid teens for us the day after. Looks like storm season is finally kicking off!
__________________
Kitchener, Ontario, AKA "Storm Repellant" (unless I'm not around)
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 03-31-2015, 06:13 PM
ssills's Avatar
ssills ssills is offline
Rank: Getting close to the action
 
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: Tillsonburg
Posts: 6
Thanks: 4
Thanked 3 Times in 2 Posts
Default Re: guess the first Warning date...

Looking at the models, Thursday could very well be the first date based off winds, all depends on the clearing behind the Warm front advancing in the morning, NAM 4K has a squall line entering Ontario in the evening.
__________________
Spencer Sills Twitter: @OntPhotog
Photographer/Spotter, Tillsonburg, Ontario
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 04-01-2015, 07:28 PM
SlideShowBob's Avatar
SlideShowBob SlideShowBob is offline
Rank: Cumulonimbus Cloud Chaser
 
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Priceville, Ontario
Posts: 181
Thanks: 93
Thanked 28 Times in 23 Posts
Default Re: guess the first Warning date...

I see the bolt of lightning symbol in my forecast from EC for tomorrow...

(don't want to jinx it)

I just need to see any storm at this point...

do i say that every year?
__________________
SlideShowBob
To view links or images in signatures your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.

Grey Highlands (Durham) Ontario
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 04-09-2015, 08:57 PM
tice23 tice23 is offline
Rank: Cumulonimbus Cloud Chaser
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Midland Ontario
Posts: 271
Thanks: 66
Thanked 169 Times in 113 Posts
Default Re: guess the first Warning date...

First tornado watch: april 9th

Code:
Watches

7:52 PM EDT Thursday 09 April 2015
Tornado watch in effect for:

    Windsor - Leamington - Essex County

Conditions are favourable for the development of severe thunderstorms which may produce tornadoes.

Severe thunderstorms have developed over Lower Michigan and are likely to track into Ontario. The threat of severe thunderstorms should end late this evening.

Be prepared for severe weather. Take cover immediately, if threatening weather approaches.

In the event of a tornado, or if a tornado warning is issued for your area, it is recommended you take the following actions: Go indoors to a room on the lowest floor, away from outside walls and windows, such as a basement, bathroom, stairwell or interior closet. Leave mobile homes, vehicles, tents, trailers and other temporary or free-standing shelter, and move to a strong building if you can. As a last resort, lie in a low spot and protect your head from flying debris.

The Office of the Fire Marshal and Emergency Management recommends that you take cover immediately, if threatening weather approaches.

Environment Canada meteorologists will update alerts as required, so stay tuned to your local media or Weatheradio. Email reports of severe weather to storm.ontario@ec.gc.ca or tweet with the hashtag #ONStorm.

For more information:
http://www.ontario.ca/beprepared.
__________________
-Storm Chaser and Photographer (Midland, ON)
Reply With Quote
The Following User Says Thank You to tice23 For This Useful Post:
DarkSky (04-10-2015)
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump

PICTURE OF THE MOMENT - Photo by: Itchy (Apr.12, 2014, London, ON)


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:38 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2022, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
All original material copyright OntarioStorms.com, all 3rd party material copyrights held by original publisher