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-   -   Possible Major Winter Storm Tuesday into Wednesday (http://www.ontariostorms.com/showthread.php?t=1125)

Storm Chaser 02-26-2013 12:42 AM

Re: Possible Major Winter Storm Tuesday into Wednesday
 
EC is screwing up again. My god, models have come around to suggest a massive winter storm is on tap, probably 25+cm for many regions and they don't even have watches out yet...disgraceful.

harrisale 02-26-2013 11:08 AM

Re: Possible Major Winter Storm Tuesday into Wednesday
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Storm Chaser (Post 5731)
EC is screwing up again. My god, models have come around to suggest a massive winter storm is on tap, probably 25+cm for many regions and they don't even have watches out yet...disgraceful.

Nothing this morning either but an updated special weather statement.

Less than 12 hours from a potentially high impact event and not even a watch???

harrisale 02-26-2013 12:11 PM

Re: Possible Major Winter Storm Tuesday into Wednesday
 
Snowfall warnings out!

DarkSky 02-26-2013 05:39 PM

Re: Possible Major Winter Storm Tuesday into Wednesday
 
I think EC is doing the right thing. It's too hard to tell right now for most areas, if it's going to be a lot of snow or pouring rain.

Latest update:

Code:

931
 WOCN11 CWTO 261724
 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
 UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA
 AT 12:24 PM EST TUESDAY 26 FEBRUARY 2013.
 ---------------------------------------------------------------------
 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR:
      WINDSOR - ESSEX - CHATHAM-KENT
      SARNIA - LAMBTON
      ELGIN
      LONDON - MIDDLESEX
      SIMCOE - DELHI - NORFOLK
      DUNNVILLE - CALEDONIA - HALDIMAND
      OXFORD - BRANT
      NIAGARA
      GREY - BRUCE
      BARRIE - ORILLIA - MIDLAND
      BELLEVILLE - QUINTE - NORTHUMBERLAND
      KINGSTON - PRINCE EDWARD
      PETERBOROUGH - KAWARTHA LAKES
      STIRLING - TWEED - SOUTH FRONTENAC
      BANCROFT - BON ECHO PARK
      BROCKVILLE - LEEDS AND GRENVILLE
      CITY OF OTTAWA
      GATINEAU
      PRESCOTT AND RUSSELL
      CORNWALL - MORRISBURG
      SMITHS FALLS - LANARK - SHARBOT LAKE
      HALIBURTON - MINDEN - SOUTHERN HALIBURTON COUNTY
      RENFREW - PEMBROKE - BARRY'S BAY.

A BATTLE BETWEEN WINTER AND EARLY SPRING ON TAP...POTENTIALLY
 BRINGING 10 TO 20 CM OF SNOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.


---------------------------------------------------------------------
 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ENDED FOR:
      CITY OF TORONTO
      CITY OF HAMILTON
      HALTON - PEEL
      YORK - DURHAM
      HURON - PERTH
      WATERLOO - WELLINGTON
      DUFFERIN - INNISFIL.

A SNOWFALL WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE REGIONS.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
 ==DISCUSSION==
 A LARGE MOISTURE LADEN LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM TEXAS HAS REACHED
 MISSOURI AND WILL TRACK NORTHEAST TO NORTHERN OHIO BY WEDNESDAY
 MORNING.

1. SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO INTO NIAGARA.

A MIXTURE OF WET SNOW AND RAIN AND PERHAPS EVEN SOME BRIEF FREEZING
 RAIN WILL MOVE INTO EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON, AS
 TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE ZERO DEGREE MARK.
 A COLD RAIN STARTED FALLING AT WINDSOR JUST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR.
 THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL THEN SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
 REGIONS INTO THE NIAGARA PENINSULA THIS EVENING. RAIN WILL BE MORE
 PREDOMINANT NEAR LAKE ERIE AND ALONG THE SHORELINE OF LAKE ONTARIO
 WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY MILDER.

FOR AREAS FARTHER NORTH OF LAKE ERIE AND INLAND, SUCH AS SARNIA,
 LONDON AND BRANTFORD, TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY COOL TO THE ZERO
 DEGREE MARK A COUPLE HOURS AFTER THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS.
 IF THIS HAPPENS, EXPECT A CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW WITH A POSSIBILITY
 OF 10 TO 15 CM OF HEAVY SNOW OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS LIKELY TO OCCUR OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING
 RUSH HOUR. THIS WILL RESULT IN RAPIDLY ACCUMULATING SNOW AND
 LOW VISIBILITIES DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. MOTORISTS SHOULD
 ADJUST TRAVEL PLANS ACCORDINGLY AS THIS SNOWFALL EVENT MAY HAVE A
 CONSIDERABLE IMPACT ON THE MORNING COMMUTE TO WORK.

PERIODS OF WET SNOW, POSSIBLY MIXED WITH RAIN, WILL CONTINUE LATER
 ON WEDNESDAY, BUT AT THIS POINT, ADDITIONAL SNOW AMOUNTS APPEAR TO
 BE LESS THAN 5 CM.


2. GREY - BRUCE ACROSS BARRIE AND PETERBOROUGH TO KINGSTON AND  NORTH.

AREAS AROUND GEORGIAN BAY AND ACROSS EASTERN ONTARIO ARE EXPECTED
 TO GET A GENERAL SNOWFALL EVENT MAINLY WEDNESDAY AS THE TEXAS
 LOW LURKS OVER NORTHERN OHIO. MANY AREAS WILL LIKELY RECEIVE A TOTAL
 OF 10 TO 15 CM. AMOUNTS WILL BE LOWER NEAR THE LAKE ONTARIO
 SHORE WHERE PRECIPITATION MAY FALL AS A MIX OF WET SNOW AND RAIN,
 WITH EVEN SOME BRIEF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE.

THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON
 TRANSPORTATION. THE MORNING AND EVENING COMMUTES ON WEDNESDAY MAY BE
 QUITE SLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE AND MAY
 BECOME HAZARDOUS DUE TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATING SNOW ON UNTREATED ROADS
 AND LOW VISIBILITY IN HEAVY SNOW.

THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHETHER OR NOT THE
 PRECIPITATION WILL BE ALL SNOW, OR SOME COMBINATION OF WET SNOW AND
 RAIN IN MANY AREAS. SNOWFALL WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY OR
 TONIGHT FOR SOME OF THE REGIONS IF IT APPEARS THAT THE WARNING
 CRITERIA OF 15 CM IN 12 HOURS WILL BE MET.

THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS AND WARNINGS AS
 WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED OR EXTENDED.

END/OSPC


DarkSky 02-26-2013 07:23 PM

Re: Possible Major Winter Storm Tuesday into Wednesday
 
Looking at the radar loop now (Tues, 6:20pm) it's REALLY starting to intensify! Some nice bright reds!

http://img819.imageshack.us/img819/6878/tempmy.jpg

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/ra...D=BUF&type=N0R

Derecho 02-27-2013 05:29 PM

Re: Possible Major Winter Storm Tuesday into Wednesday
 
You'd never know we had 15cm with how compact the snow has become.

DarkSky 02-27-2013 09:02 PM

Re: Possible Major Winter Storm Tuesday into Wednesday
 
No accumulation here in St. Kitts. Just a small layer of wet slushy stuff on the parking lot pavement. Roads were just wet coming home from work.

DarkSky 02-28-2013 06:07 AM

Re: Possible Major Winter Storm Tuesday into Wednesday
 
Code:

310
 AWCN11 CWTO 280116
 UPDATED WEATHER SUMMARY FOR ALL OF SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND THE
 NATIONAL CAPITAL REGION ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA
 AT 8:13 PM EST WEDNESDAY 27 FEBRUARY 2013.

-------------------------------------------------------------
 ==WEATHER EVENT DISCUSSION==

ANOTHER WINTER STORM HAS BLANKETED MUCH OF SOUTHERN ONTARIO WITH
 APPRECIABLE SNOW AS WELL AS SOME RAIN. BUT UNLIKE THE MORE
 SIGNIFICANT FEBRUARY 8TH STORM, THE SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LATEST
 WINTERY BOUT IS WETTER AND MORE DENSE. SNOW CONTINUES IN MANY AREAS
 BUT IS DECIDEDLY LIGHTER THAN THAT WHICH FELL DURING THE NIGHT. THE
 ONLY EXCEPTION IS FAR EASTERN ONTARIO WHERE HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES TO
 FALL AND SNOWFALL WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. THE HEAVY SNOW WILL
 CONTINUE WELL INTO THE EVENING FOR THE OTTAWA AREA.

SINCE THE TEMPERATURE WAS CLOSE TO THE FREEZING MARK, SNOWFALL
 AMOUNTS VARIED CONSIDERABLY. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WAS OVER THE
 HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG THE OAK RIDGES MORAINE AND TO THE WEST OF THE
 NIAGARA ESCARPMENT. AREAS CLOSE TO THE LAKE ONTARIO LAKESHORE
 (INCLUDING DOWNTOWN TORONTO) RECEIVED MINOR ACCUMULATIONS WHEREAS
 SNOW AMOUNTS OF AROUND 10 CM WERE COMMON JUST A FEW KILOMETRES  NORTH.

MAJOR IMPACTS INCLUDED DIFFICULT TRAVEL ON MANY UNPLOWED ROADS, AS
 WELL AS LOCAL PONDING OF WATER ESPECIALLY ON URBAN STREETS WHERE
 DRAINS BECAME BLOCKED BY DENSE SNOW. THERE HAVE ALSO BE SPORADIC
 POWER OUTAGES DUE TO SNOW-LADEN LIMBS FALLING ON SOME POWER  LINES.

BELOW ARE TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS REPORTED AS OF 7:00 PM.

-------------------------------------------------------------
 LOCATION                  SNOW AMOUNT (CM)
 -------------------------------------------------------------

WINDSOR AIRPORT                14
 DORCHESTER (EAST OF LONDON)    10* (AS OF 9 AM)
 KITCHENER - WATERLOO AREA      14-20*
 FERGUS                          21*
 FERGUS SHAND DAM                14* (AS OF 9 AM)
 BRAMPTON                        14* (AS OF 9 AM)
 WATERDOWN                      15* (AS OF 11 AM)
 TORONTO - PEARSON              12
 TORONTO - DOWNSVIEW            12  (AS OF 4 PM)
 TORONTO - EAST YORK            10* (AS OF 9 AM)
 BUTTONVILLE                    12
 THORNHILL (OAK RIDGES)          17* (AS OF 9 AM)
 AURORA                          16* (AS OF 9 AM)
 UXBRIDGE                        15 (ESTIMATED)
 ORANGEVILLE                    26*
 BARRIE                          14* (AS OF 9 AM)
 SHANTY BAY (NE BARRIE)          9* (AS OF 9 AM)
 TAPLEY (SW PETERBOROUGH)        13* (AS OF 9 AM)
 WEMYSS (NEAR PERTH)            15* (AS OF 6 PM)
 OTTAWA REGION                  20 (APPROXIMATELY)

* VOLUNTEER OBSERVATIONS

THIS WEATHER SUMMARY CONTAINS PRELIMINARY INFORMATION AND MAY NOT
 CONSTITUTE AN OFFICIAL OR FINAL REPORT.

END/OSPC


Storm Chaser 02-28-2013 05:38 PM

Re: Possible Major Winter Storm Tuesday into Wednesday
 
Storm total of 21-23cm here after last night's added snowfall. Quite a decent event!

DarkSky 03-01-2013 06:41 AM

Re: Possible Major Winter Storm Tuesday into Wednesday
 
anyone have photos?? I'd like to see all this snow that everyone else got that we didn't. :)


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